Weekly evaluation of Kitco site of gold market ,May 3

Weekly evaluation of Kitco site of gold market ,May 3

Disappointment is back in the global gold ounce market. The XAUUSD price could not cross the $ 1,800 resistance. At the same time, inflationary pressures are intensifying, expansionary monetary policies continue to be strong, and governments are seeking to increase their spending. According to Kitco News, analysts have warned that lower global ounce prices should be prepared for lower prices in such circumstances. However, many analysts believe that the recent price cut is just a pullback to support and will provide a new opportunity to buy.
This week, 15 Wall Street activists took part in a weekly evaluation of the Kitco site. Fifty-three percent predict that the global ounce gold trend will be bullish in next week's trading. Another 47% predict that the market will be trendless or neutral. None of the market professionals expect a downward trend in the short term. Meanwhile, 954 Main Street investors took part in the online survey. 54% are in favor of an uptrend, 26% are in favor of a downtrend and 20% are in favor of a trend-neutral market.
Some analysts believe that gold failed to break $ 1800, but at the same time managed to defend the support of $ 1750. For this reason, market participants see last week's price drop as an opportunity to buy gold at lower prices.

Opinions of traders and investors about ounces of global gold

Ole Hansen is a commodity market strategist at Saxo Bank

"Gold has again disappointed its investors."

Adrian Day, President of Adrian D. Capital Management Company

"The price of an ounce of global gold should pull back to $ 1745. Gold broke the $ 1745 resistance in early April. This resistance prevented further growth of gold prices for two months. It is better that the market responds to this resistance as soon as possible in the form of support. The long-term trend of global gold ounces is bullish. "Inflationary pressures have intensified, and the Federal Reserve does not want to counteract the rise in inflation by raising interest rates or exiting the bond-buying program."

Marc Chandler is the CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex

The professional activist believes that if the market does not defend the support of $ 1750, the price of a global ounce of gold could fall to $ 1724. "Technically, the short-term trend of the global ounce of gold tends to decline. "Gold is approaching the $ 1,752 support area, which includes a 38.2% correction in the April Fibonacci rally." Although the long-term ounce of global gold is bullish for the professional activist, gold has performed poorly compared to copper, the stock market and even bitcoin. "There are strong risk aversions in the parallel gold markets and no one likes to wait for gold to grow in this situation. "Investors have better options to buy."

Weekly evaluation of Kitco site of gold market Sunday, April 25

Weekly evaluation of Kitco site of gold market Sunday, April 25

An ounce of global gold has failed to break above the $ 1,800 resistance, making buyers pessimistic about the future. Kitco News' weekly assessment shows that the expectations and forecasts of market professionals have changed. Last week, all market traders expected an increase in the price of an ounce of global gold, but since the market could not cross $ 1,800, everyone expects the market to fluctuate in the neutral phase for some time.

This week, 17 Wall Street activists took part in an online evaluation of the Kitco site. 41% predict that the global gold ounce trend will be neutral. Another 41% expect a trend-free market. Meanwhile, 18% of analysts predict that the global gold ounce market trend will decline. Meanwhile, 850 Main Street investors took part in the online poll. 68% were in favor of an uptrend, 28% were in favor of a downtrend and 14% were in favor of a trend-neutral market.

Last week, XAUUSD tried to reach close to $ 1,800, but good US economic data did not allow gold to grow. The US New Homes sales index rose the most in March from 2006. US PMIs also showed strong optimism in the US manufacturing and services sectors.

Analysis of market professionals

Adam Button Senior Market Strategist at Forexlive.com

"The price of an ounce of global gold has risen to around $ 1,675 after forming a twin floor and is entering a neutral phase below $ 1,800 and is resting."

Kevin Grady, President of Phoenix Futures and Options LLC

"Despite the strong recovery in the US economy, selling ounces of global gold is hard work. But as economic recovery accelerates, so will inflationary pressures. "In that case, the ounce of global gold will strengthen as inflationary pressures intensify." In terms of roundness, the medium-term trend of global gold is neutral or trendless.

Jim Wyckoff Technical Analyst at Kitko

According to Vaikov, the global ounce gold trend is still bullish. "The trend of daily charts of global gold and silver is bullish."

Adrian Day, President of Adrian D. Capital Management Company

Although the price of an ounce of global gold was expected to move in an upward straight line and this did not happen, the medium-term trend of an ounce of gold is still bullish. The price of an ounce of global gold has climbed to the top of the recent neutral range at $ 1,750. "The weakening US dollar, declining rates of return on Treasury bonds and the US government's new financial and support package have all supported the global ounce price."

Marc Chandler is the CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex

The professional activist believes that the most important risky event this week is the US Federal Reserve interest rate meeting. According to him, if the US Federal Reserve continues to be inclined to expansionary monetary policy, the price of an ounce of global gold could exceed $ 1,800.

Darin Newsom Independent Market Analyst

Darin Newsam believes that the price of an ounce of global gold could fall to support around $ 1750. "It seems that after the formation of daily return candelas on Wednesdays and Thursdays, the short-term trend of global gold ounces has changed."

Evaluation of Kitco site about gold market Sunday, April 18

Evaluation of Kitco site about gold market Sunday, April 18

According to the weekly assessment of the Kitco News site, with the penetration of the global ounce gold price above the key resistance of $ 1765, all market professionals expect a further increase in the global ounce gold price.
This week, 13 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly evaluation of the Kitco site. All 13 predict that the global gold ounce trend will be bullish next week. Meanwhile, 1,103 Main Street investors took part in an online poll. 65% are in favor of an uptrend, 18% are in favor of a downtrend and 17% are in favor of a trendless or neutral market.

Analysis of market professionals

Ole Hansen is Saxo Bank Senior Market Strategist

"The XAUUSD bullish jump from $ 1680 has eased the minds of gold buyers and gold will soon reach higher levels." The activist said he would buy gold after rising on Thursday. According to him, the loss limit of the purchase transaction should be in the range of $ 1755. According to Hansen, the main factor driving up the price of an ounce of global gold was the decline in Treasury yields and the weakening of the US dollar.

Phillip Streible is the senior market strategist at Blue Line Futures

This professional activist also wants to enter into a buy deal after the recent price peak in the market. However, he believes that the loss limit of the purchase transaction should be determined with great care and with the increase in the price of gold, the loss limit should also be increased.

Darin Newsom Independent Market Analyst

According to this professional activist, the price of an ounce of world gold can rise to the peak of $ 1822. "After the break of this price peak, Pulbeck will probably be $ 1765. "However, the ounce of global gold is behaving in such a way that it seems to want to reach higher prices."

John Weyer, CEO of Walsh Trading

This professional activist focuses on the $ 1,785 resistance. According to him, if inflationary pressures intensify, the price of an ounce of global gold could reach above $ 1,800.

Adam Button Senior Market Strategist at Forexlive.com

According to Adam Button, the price of an ounce of world gold could rise to $ 1,840.

Weekly Gold Ratings at Kitco Sunday, April 11

According to Kitco News, optimism has been boosted again by rising global gold prices. An ounce of global gold has been able to defend its previous support and seems to be looking to cross the key and psychological level of $ 1750. That's why market participants expect the global medium-term ounce trend to be bullish. However, some analysts have warned that it is too early to talk about the XAUUSD uptrend.

This week, 15 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly evaluation of the Kitco site. Meanwhile, 60% of participants predict that the global gold ounce trend will be bullish. Another 20 percent predict a downtrend and the rest expect a trend-free or neutral market. Meanwhile, 1,201 Main Street investors took part in an online poll. 65% are in favor of an uptrend, 20% are in favor of a downtrend and 16% are in favor of a trend-free market.

Optimism for a short-term uptrend also strengthened among small investors and market traders after the global ounce price of key support jumped below $ 1,700. Last week, the price of an ounce of global gold climbed to around $ 1760, however, it ended the week below $ 1750. On Friday, we saw intensifying sales pressures in the gold market. The rise in Treasury yields and the strengthening of the US dollar in response to PPI data (manufacturing sector inflation) were the main reasons for the slight decline in the global ounce gold price. Inflation in the US manufacturing sector reached 4.2 percent per year, the fastest growth since September 2011.

Comments of market participants

Adam Button Senior Market Strategist at Forexlive.com

The closing of the global gold price above $ 1755 could be a confirmation of the formation of the twin floor pattern. In this case, the price of an ounce of world gold will rise to $ 1840. "But if the price of an ounce of global gold fails to rise, it will fall to $ 1,676 and below."

Charlie Nedoss Senior Market Strategy at LaSalle Futures Group

This professional activist no longer pays attention to the widespread selling pressures in the treasury securities market (rising bond yields). In his view, the Federal Reserve is not looking to raise interest rates in the near future. "The Fed wants to see real growth in economic indicators and then think about raising interest rates. I think this will stop the US dollar from rising and support the ounce of global gold. "Especially since the US dollar has not yet been able to stay above the 200-day moving average." Ndos is optimistic about the increase in the price of an ounce of global gold. Gold was able to maintain its position above the 200-day moving average. "Gold has hit the price floor of the oscillating range and it seems that this time it is time to touch the ceiling of this range. "I expect the price of an ounce of global gold to cross the $ 1760 resistance level."

Darin Newsom Independent Market Analyst

According to the activist, at least in the medium term, the rising strength of the US dollar has weakened. According to him, the probability that the price of an ounce of world gold will reach higher levels is serious. Gold and the US dollar are inversely related.

Marc Chandler, Senior Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex

This professional activist is not very optimistic about the upward and short-term trend of gold. "Next week, the rise in the value of the US dollar and the rate of return on Treasury bonds may prevent the price of an ounce of gold from rising. US economic and inflation data are on the rise. The break in the $ 1730-1728 support area could push the global ounce price up to $ 1,700.

Adrian Day, Director of Adrian Investment Company

The professional activist believes that the trend of global ounce of gold in the coming week will be neutral. According to him, the market will fluctuate in a limited range. "I doubt gold can make a significant move in the next few weeks," he said. "I think the price of gold will fluctuate between $ 1,680 and $ 1,745."

Weekly evaluation of Kitco site Monday, April 5

Weekly evaluation of Kitco site Monday, April 5

At the same time with the formation of the twin floor below $ 1700, optimism about the future price of an ounce of global gold has been strengthened. Last week, the XAUUSD jumped twice below $ 1,700. Although the optimism of market professionals has been relatively strong, the concerns of small investors have not yet been allayed. The latest weekly assessment of Kitco News shows that disagreements between small investors and market professionals have increased. While gold has been able to jump above the monthly price floor and end the week above $ 1,700, some analysts believe that it is not yet possible to talk about a strong uptrend in the market.
This week, 15 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly evaluation of the Kitco site. 73% predict that this week's trend will be an upward ounce of global gold. 13% forecast a downtrend and another 13% expect a trend-free market. Meanwhile, 1,565 Main Street investors took part in an online poll. 41% are in favor of an uptrend, 44% are in favor of a downtrend and 16% are in favor of a trend-free market.

Analysis of market professionals

Colin Cieszynski SIA Wealth Management Senior Market Strategy
"Last week, the world ounce price of gold experienced a significant drop, so it can be said that the recent price increase is just a technical leap. "I do not expect a steady rising rally in the price of an ounce of global gold, and the market is facing many obstacles." He added that he would only be sure of the market's uptrend if the price of a global ounce of gold went above $ 1,780.
Darin Newsom Independent Market Analyst
The activist expects the market to rise in the short term, but he prefers to rely on the uptrend after the defeat of the $ 1756 resistance. According to Newsom, the global ounce of gold is in fierce competition with the US dollar. The long-term trend of the US dollar seems to be upward. The US dollar and the price of an ounce of world gold are inversely related.
Marc Chandler, senior market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex
According to Chandler, rising inflation could lead investors to gold. In times of inflation, investors use gold to cover the risk of inflation. "The twin floor will only be confirmed if the price crosses the peak between the two floors, meaning that the global ounce price must rise above $ 1,754 to confirm the twin floor signal."

Weekly gold valuation on the Kitco site Wednesday, March 31

Weekly gold valuation on the Kitco site Wednesday, March 31

The gold market continues to defend support at $ 1,700, but has not yet seen a strong uptrend. According to Kitco News' weekly assessment, the uptrend is almost the same, especially since the price of an ounce of global gold could not cross the key resistance of $ 1750. However, among professional activists, there have been slightly more supporters of the downtrend. However, many analysts believe that a drop in the price of an ounce of global gold could provide a good opportunity for long-term buying.
This week, 16 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly evaluation of the Kitco site. 44% predict that the global gold ounce trend will be upward. Another 50 percent expect a downtrend. Another 6% predict that the market trend will be neutral. Meanwhile, 807 Main Street investors took part in an online poll. 47% are in favor of an uptrend, 32% are in favor of a downtrend and 22% are in favor of a neutral trend. Although small investors are a little optimistic about the future of the market, it should be noted that the turnout in last week's poll has reached its lowest level since early May 2020.
The price of an ounce of global gold fluctuates between $ 1,700 and $ 1,750. For many traders, the ounce of global gold futures depends on the trend of the dollar and the yield on US Treasury bonds. US Treasury yields are near a one-year high.
The views of market professionals

Lukman Otunuga Senior Market Analyst at FXTM
"Rapid vaccination in the United States has boosted optimism about rapid economic growth in the United States and boosted demand for the US dollar. If the US dollar continues to rise, the price of an ounce of global gold will fall. Currently the technical situation of the market is in favor of the sellers. Closing the market below $ 1730 will push the price of an ounce of global gold to $ 1700.
Adam Button Leads Forexlive.com Strategy Team
Adam Button has also focused on US dollar fluctuations. "I do not think now is the right time to buy gold. There are positive signs of a growing US dollar. "The strengthening of the US dollar could be to the detriment of gold."
Jim Wyckoff, Senior Technical Analyst at Kitco
Jim Vaikov is the only market analyst who expects a trend-free or neutral market. However, in his view, the market is a bit downward.
Charlie Nedoss Senior Market Strategy at LaSalle Futures Group
The activist believes that as long as the price of gold is above the moving average of 20, he is optimistic about the future of the gold market. The average is around $ 1725. "If the world ounce price of gold can keep the 20-day moving average, we can expect the price of gold to rise above $ 1,750." According to Nodos, the yield on Treasury bonds and the US dollar may have peaked in the medium term. This means that in the medium term, both bond yields and the value of the US dollar will fall and the conditions for the growth of an ounce of global gold will be smoothed out.
Daniel Pavilonis Senior Market Strategy at RJO Futures
This professional activist is optimistic about the medium-term trend of ounces of global gold. According to this professional activist, pessimism about the future of the market has increased and this may be a good opportunity to start buying gold.

Weekly Gold Analysis at Kitco Tuesday, March 16

Weekly Gold Analysis at Kitco Tuesday, March 16

According to Kitco News, expectations of market participants appear to be changing, and pessimism about the future of the global ounce gold price has eased. The price of an ounce of global gold was able to maintain its position above $ 1,700. Some analysts believe that the XAUUSD market has formed a short-term price floor. As gold prices return from a 10-week low, the optimism of small investors has been boosted by the rise in gold prices. However, market professionals are still pessimistic about the future. This ambiguity has been created in the expectations and desires of micro-investors and professional activists after the rise in crude oil prices and the approval of the US government's financial and support package. Many analysts have said that the US government's financial support package will support the global ounce price of gold in the long run. Others, however, expect the US government fiscal package to drive strong stock market growth and Treasury yields (to the detriment of the gold market).
This week, 16 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly evaluation of the Kitco site. 38% predict that the global gold ounce trend will be upward this week. 31% predict that the price of an ounce of global gold will fall. Another 31% expect a trend-free or neutral market. 1611 Main Street investors also took part in an online poll. 62% were in favor of the uptrend, 23% were in favor of the downtrend and 15% were in favor of the market without trend or neutral. Not only are a significant number of small investors optimistic about the medium-term trend in global ounces of gold, but the number of pollsters has reached its highest level in a month.

The views of gold market professionals

Adrian Day, President of Adrian D. Capital Management Company
This professional activist is pessimistic about this week's trend of global gold. He expects prices to fall. However, he predicts that the market is at a price floor and a possible price drop will be the last price drop in the market. "We can expect further price declines from current levels, but prices will continue to rise again (meaning prices will not continue to fall). "But even if the price goes down, I will not be a seller." He went on to say that by injecting high liquidity into the world financial system, being a gold seller is a dangerous job.
Adam Button leads Forexlive.com Currency Strategy Team
This professional activist is also optimistic about the global gold ounce trend. According to him, maintaining support at $ 1680 is a good sign for the upward trend of gold ounces. "The market has learned to cope with high rates of return. "This week's meeting of the US Federal Reserve is also unlikely to change monetary policy."
Colin Cieszynski Senior Market Strategy at SIA Capital Management
The activist believes that the rapid growth of the US economy will make it difficult to raise the price of an ounce of global gold. "I doubt the Federal Reserve will downplay the rapid rise in inflation or try to stop the dollar from appreciating and the rate of return," he said. "I do not think the Federal Reserve, like the European Central Bank, is ready to intervene in the market."

Weekly evaluation of Kitco site from the expectations of gold market investors Tuesday, March 9

Weekly evaluation of Kitco site from the expectations of gold market investors  Tuesday, March 9

The strengthening dollar, the jump in Treasury yields and investor optimism about strong US economic growth have pushed down the price of an ounce of global gold. Kitco News 'weekly assessment also shows market participants' pessimism about the future of the gold market. Now the question that has occupied the minds of most market participants is how much will the rate of return on treasury bonds increase?
This week, 13 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly evaluation of the Kitco site. 29% predict that this week's trend will be an upward ounce of global gold. 57% predict that the market trend will be downtrend and another 14% expect the market to be trending or neutral. Meanwhile, 1,482 Main Street investors took part in the online survey. 40% are in favor of an uptrend, 44% are in favor of a downtrend and 16% are in favor of a trend-free market.
On Friday, the price of an ounce of global gold reached the support of $ 1680. The strong growth of 379 thousand NFP units was the main reason for the fall in the price of an ounce of global gold. US employment growth was much higher than market forecasts. Despite the fact that the price of an ounce of world gold rose from the price floor on Friday, XAUUSD ended the week in the negative range. As US economic performance improves, some analysts believe that Treasury yields could rise further. Especially since the US Federal Reserve has no problem raising the rate of return on Treasury bonds. The head of the Federal Reserve has said that raising interest rates alone is not enough to raise interest rates and exit expansionary monetary policy. It does not seem to matter to the US Federal Reserve what the rate of return on Treasury bonds is.
The views of gold market professionals

Phillip Streible is the senior market strategist at Blue Line Futures
"Whenever the rate of return on treasury bonds peaks, there will be a price floor in ounces of global gold."
Darin Newsome President of Darin Newsom Analysis
"The views of the head of the US Federal Reserve mean that the rate of return on Treasury bonds could rise further without the central bank intervening. "Increasing the rate of return on treasury bonds will put pressure on the price of an ounce of global gold."
Ole Hansen leads the commodity strategy team at Saxo Bank
The market activist expects the global ounce price to rise in the medium term. According to him, the price of an ounce of global gold has been able to maintain its support in the 11-month price floor. However, in the opinion of this professional activist, the challenges facing gold buyers are not over yet. "The price of an ounce of global gold will not rise until the yield on Treasury bonds and the US dollar reaches equilibrium. The Federal Reserve also has no plans to deal with rising Treasury yields. In other words, for the Federal Reserve to get involved, the country's financial system will face a significant increase in borrowing costs and will suffer a lot. "
Adrian Day, President of Adrian D. Capital Management Company
Adrian Day still hopes for an ounce of global gold, as long as fundamental issues support the price of an ounce of global gold. He believes that the strong growth of the dollar and the rate of return on treasury bonds will hurt the price of an ounce of global gold. "As long as the dollar trend and the rate of return on treasury bonds are bullish, the situation will be difficult for gold buyers. "At the moment I am just watching the situation and I will enter the market at reasonable prices."
Colin Cieszynski SIA Wealth Management Senior Market Strategy
The global gold ounce price will also be under pressure until inflation rises to significant levels, the activist said. He believes that other than gold, commodities are rising in price, which means that inflationary pressures will soon intensify.

Weekly Gold Analysis Sunday, February 21

Weekly Gold Analysis Sunday, February 21

Fundamental analysis of ounces of global gold

Investors and market professionals are also pessimistic about the future of gold prices after the global ounce price fell to its lowest level in eight months. The rise in US Treasury yields has been a major factor in lowering the price of an ounce of global gold. Analysts and traders are pessimistic about the future and medium-term trend of the global ounce of gold, while investors' optimism about the future of the gold market has reached its lowest level in several years. Some analysts believe that the price of an ounce of global gold could fall further in the medium term, as rising US Treasury yields could force the Federal Reserve to control the yield curve. Analysts believe that controlling the US yield curve could be to the detriment of the US dollar.
This week, 18 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly Kitco News review. 17% of respondents predict that the global gold ounce trend will be bullish. 72% predict that the market trend will be downward. Meanwhile, another 11 percent predict that the market will be trendless. Meanwhile, 1,292 Main Street investors took part in the online survey. 43% were in favor of an uptrend, 40% were in favor of a downtrend and 17% were in favor of a trend-free market.
Many analysts believe that the US Treasury bond market is the biggest threat to the gold market. Although inflationary pressures are on the rise, on the other hand, economic growth expectations are strong and therefore offset the effect of inflation expectations. These optimisms about the future of the world economy have led to an increase in US Treasury yields, which will eventually lead to an increase in real interest rates in the US economy. An increase in real interest rates is to the detriment of ounces of global gold, as it increases the opportunity cost of investing in gold.
The views of gold market professionals

Adrian Day, President of Adrian D. Asset Management Company
"The fall in the price of an ounce of world gold has been longer and deeper than I expected. "However, I think the gold market is entering a period in which long-term buyers are likely to either exit the market or refuse to re-enter the market." The professional activist went on to say that the pressure to sell ounces of global gold was too normal, but it should be noted that market price movements do not always proceed with the fundamental situation. Adrian Dee hopes to hit the gold market in the next week or two.
Ole Hansen leads Saxo Bank strategy team
This professional activist is pessimistic about the global gold ounce trend. He said that even if the fundamentals of the global ounce of gold were strong, he was still pessimistic about the future of the global ounce price. "Before the market starts to move upwards, it needs to change. "We are almost certain that inflation will grow faster than previously predicted, and when that happens, real bond yields will be balanced." According to Hansen, although the Federal Reserve is likely to control the yield curve, he believes that the Fed will not act until the rate hike hurts the US stock market.
David Madden Senior Market Strategy at CMC Markets
The activist expects the price of an ounce of global gold to fall as the rate of return on Treasury bonds rises. However, he remains optimistic about the medium-term ounce of global gold. "Increasing the yield on US Treasury bonds will draw all attention to a possible rate hike," he said. "While no central bank in the world wants to raise interest rates, there is still the possibility of an upward rally in the global ounce of gold." He added that the global ounce gold market fluctuates between $ 1,700 and $ 1,900. He does not expect the market to rise to $ 2,000, as the global economy shows signs of recovery.
Colin Cieszynski Senior Market Strategy at SIA Asset Management
According to the activist, part of the demand for gold has been lost due to the attractiveness of bitcoin and other digital currencies, especially since the price of bitcoin has risen above $ 50,000.
Marc Chandler is the CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex
The fall of the global gold ounce to $ 1,760 has driven many buyers off the market. One can expect the market to hit the range of $ 1810-1795. Crossing the global ounce price above $ 1820 could improve the technical outlook for the gold ounce. It has recently been rumored that Bitcoin is the gold of the modern world, but I do not agree with this idea. "I think it will take more time to judge."