Home Economic Calendar Gold Analysis Forex Analysis Contact About
Gold Analysis :: Rahathagh.ir/حمید راحت حق

تحلیل سهام | روانشناسی بازار | فارکس و بورس

۴۲ مطلب با موضوع «Gold Analysis» ثبت شده است

Check the gold trend Monday, March 8

Check the gold trend Monday, March 8

https://s16.picofile.com/file/8427330700/gold8_3_%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA_%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg
The global ounce price rose 0.57% to $ 1,708 as Monday's trading session in Europe approached. Thus, the price of gold has started to rise from its 9-month low.
Given the RSI indicator reached the sell-off zone and the formation of a Dodge candlestick pattern on Friday, there is a possibility that this corrective trend will continue.
However, the bearish trend line since November 30 at $ 1,760 is a resistance.
Meanwhile, the $ 1,700 level plays the role of the first important support that if the price penetrates below this level, we can expect a fall to the downtrend line formed on August 12 at $ 1,677.
If the $ 1,677 support is broken, the price of gold will fall to the level of $ 1,670 and eventually to $ 1,610.

Technical levels
Last price of the day: $ 1707.8
Daily fluctuations: 9.6
Daytime fluctuations (٪): 0.57
Starting price: $ 1698.2
Trends
20-day moving average: $ 1779.02
50-day moving average: $ 1829.15
100-day moving average: $ 1848.59
200-day moving average: $ 1860.11
Levels
Yesterday's highest price: $ 1707.26
Yesterday's lowest price: $ 1687.37
Last week's highest price: $ 1759.98
Last week's lowest price: $ 1687.37
Last month's highest price: $ 1871.9
Last month's lowest price: $ 1717.24
Fibonacci 38.2. Daily: $ 1699.97
Fibonacci 61.8. Daily: $ 1695.16
Pivot S1 Daily: $ 1687.89
Pivot S2 Daily: $ 1677.39
Pivot S3 Daily: $ 1667.4
Pivot R1 Daily: $ 1708.18
Pivot R2 Daily: $ 1718.17
Pivot R3 Daily: $ 1728.57

08 March 21 ، 14:25 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
حمید راحت حق

Return of gold ounces from key support

Return of gold ounces from key support

https://bayanbox.ir/view/7270866199690193010/ImageDetail-%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA-%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg

On November 30, 2020, the global ounce of gold, after hitting $ 1764, started moving up to the price of $ 1959.36. Gold traders entered the market around this rate, which resulted in the beginning of a new downtrend. Recently, gold ounce price movements have been restricted between the two downtrend lines. In today's trading, the market is again supported by the price of $ 1708.64 and the price of gold has risen. If the market continues to return positively from $ 1708.6 and the ounce of gold breaks the downtrend line, one can expect the market to move to the rate of $ 1742.21, the moving average of 50 and the resistance of $ 1767.
But if the ounce of gold definitively breaks the 1708.64-1700 range, it could start a new downtrend to support at $ 1675 and then $ 1650.

04 March 21 ، 22:24 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
حمید راحت حق

Technical analysis of the global gold ounce Tuesday, March 2

Technical analysis of the global gold ounce Tuesday, March 2

https://bayanbox.ir/view/6752005902692352902/%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA-%D8%AD%D9%82-gold.jpg
The price of an ounce of global gold on Tuesday continued its downward trend for the fourth consecutive day after the increase in demand and the growth of the US dollar index.
The price of gold is currently affected by the trend of the dollar index and the rate of return of treasury bonds in the absence of important economic news.
Due to the four-hour time frame, the price of gold is breaking the downside channel. If a four-hour candle closes below the support level of the trend line at $ 1,712, we can expect the price to fall to the bottom of 2020, ie $ 1,671.
If this support level is not broken, the price will rise to the level of the moving average indicator 21 in the four-hour time frame, ie $ 1,755.

02 March 21 ، 23:15 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
حمید راحت حق

Weekly Gold Analysis Monday, March 1

Weekly Gold Analysis Monday, March 1

https://bayanbox.ir/view/8897391231867283221/gold1-3-%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA-%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg

Last week, the price of an ounce of global gold fell close to $ 100 and fell to $ 1720. This is the lowest price in an ounce of gold in the last eight months. According to the weekly assessment of Kitco News, it seems that from the point of view of market professionals, the decline in the price of an ounce of global gold is not over yet. In the coming week, all eyes will be on changes in the rate of return on Treasury bonds and the US dollar. Recently, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has risen to more than 1.6 percent.
This week, 13 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly evaluation. 61.5% predict that this week's trend of global gold ounces will be declining. 23% of participants also predict that the short-term trend of global gold ounces will be upward. The remaining 15.5% expect a trend-neutral or neutral market. Meanwhile, 669 Main Street investors took part in the online poll. 52.5% were in favor of an uptrend, 33.3% were in favor of a downtrend and 14.2% were in favor of a trend-free market. This is the lowest level of micro-investor participation in an online survey in the past year. According to market analysts, the key support for global gold is at $ 1,700, and the continued decline of the market depends on the reaction of gold to this support.
Perspectives of Gold Market Professionals (XAUUSD)

Colin Cieszynski Senior Market Strategy at SIA Wealth Management
"The US dollar appears to be making up for recent declines, especially as investors focus on increasing Treasury yields." The price of an ounce of global gold is inversely related to the value of the US dollar. This means that the strengthening of the US dollar is to the detriment of the global ounce gold price.
Marc Chandler is the CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex
The recent bullish ounce of global gold has disappeared and the price of an ounce of global gold has fallen below the simple moving average of 20 days. The rise in US Treasury yields has hurt gold. XAUUSD's next target is to correct 61.8% of Fibonacci near $ 1,690. I doubt the market will move in this direction in the medium term. However, I will not be surprised by the neutral and wide fluctuations of the gold market. "
Adrian Day, President of Adrian D. Capital Management Company
"Next week you can see the latest efforts of sellers in the market. From a fundamental point of view, the situation is in favor of ounces of global gold, especially since there is a lot of liquidity in the world. The dollar index has only recorded an upward jump in response to the recent price peaks, meaning that the dollar index is still declining. In the US bond market, while long-term bond yields have risen, short-term bond yields are still low and the real interest rate on the US economy is negative. "Most importantly, the market needs a strong one-sided move to change the expectations and inclinations of investors."
Mark Leibovit Editor-in-Chief V.R. Metals / Resource
This professional activist is most pessimistic about the future of the gold market. He believes that the price of an ounce of global gold may fall as low as $ 1,500. "There are a lot of buyers in the market. The technical situation of the market is either neutral or declining. "So can the market fall to $ 1,500?"
Ole Hansen is a commodity market strategist at Saxo Bank
"For the first time in four weeks, I expect the global ounce price to rise." He attributed the optimism to gold prices to the US stock market reaction to the rate of return on Treasury bonds. "Increasing the rate of return on treasury bonds has also affected other financial markets. This means that investors will soon start thinking about buying safe and secure assets. The Fed's views are likely to be challenged in the coming weeks (Powell did not take the rise in Treasury yields seriously, saying the increase was due to optimism about the US economy, not inflation expectations). The US economy can not tolerate high rates of return, and the resurgence of bond yields could make investors think that the US Federal Reserve may have to control the yield curve in the near future. In that case, the real rate of return and the value of the US dollar will fall and the price of an ounce of global gold will fall sharply.

01 March 21 ، 20:22 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
حمید راحت حق

Weekly Gold Analysis Sunday, February 21

Weekly Gold Analysis Sunday, February 21

https://bayanbox.ir/view/7394721176202554383/kitco-21-2-%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA-%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg

Fundamental analysis of ounces of global gold

Investors and market professionals are also pessimistic about the future of gold prices after the global ounce price fell to its lowest level in eight months. The rise in US Treasury yields has been a major factor in lowering the price of an ounce of global gold. Analysts and traders are pessimistic about the future and medium-term trend of the global ounce of gold, while investors' optimism about the future of the gold market has reached its lowest level in several years. Some analysts believe that the price of an ounce of global gold could fall further in the medium term, as rising US Treasury yields could force the Federal Reserve to control the yield curve. Analysts believe that controlling the US yield curve could be to the detriment of the US dollar.
This week, 18 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly Kitco News review. 17% of respondents predict that the global gold ounce trend will be bullish. 72% predict that the market trend will be downward. Meanwhile, another 11 percent predict that the market will be trendless. Meanwhile, 1,292 Main Street investors took part in the online survey. 43% were in favor of an uptrend, 40% were in favor of a downtrend and 17% were in favor of a trend-free market.
Many analysts believe that the US Treasury bond market is the biggest threat to the gold market. Although inflationary pressures are on the rise, on the other hand, economic growth expectations are strong and therefore offset the effect of inflation expectations. These optimisms about the future of the world economy have led to an increase in US Treasury yields, which will eventually lead to an increase in real interest rates in the US economy. An increase in real interest rates is to the detriment of ounces of global gold, as it increases the opportunity cost of investing in gold.
The views of gold market professionals

Adrian Day, President of Adrian D. Asset Management Company
"The fall in the price of an ounce of world gold has been longer and deeper than I expected. "However, I think the gold market is entering a period in which long-term buyers are likely to either exit the market or refuse to re-enter the market." The professional activist went on to say that the pressure to sell ounces of global gold was too normal, but it should be noted that market price movements do not always proceed with the fundamental situation. Adrian Dee hopes to hit the gold market in the next week or two.
Ole Hansen leads Saxo Bank strategy team
This professional activist is pessimistic about the global gold ounce trend. He said that even if the fundamentals of the global ounce of gold were strong, he was still pessimistic about the future of the global ounce price. "Before the market starts to move upwards, it needs to change. "We are almost certain that inflation will grow faster than previously predicted, and when that happens, real bond yields will be balanced." According to Hansen, although the Federal Reserve is likely to control the yield curve, he believes that the Fed will not act until the rate hike hurts the US stock market.
David Madden Senior Market Strategy at CMC Markets
The activist expects the price of an ounce of global gold to fall as the rate of return on Treasury bonds rises. However, he remains optimistic about the medium-term ounce of global gold. "Increasing the yield on US Treasury bonds will draw all attention to a possible rate hike," he said. "While no central bank in the world wants to raise interest rates, there is still the possibility of an upward rally in the global ounce of gold." He added that the global ounce gold market fluctuates between $ 1,700 and $ 1,900. He does not expect the market to rise to $ 2,000, as the global economy shows signs of recovery.
Colin Cieszynski Senior Market Strategy at SIA Asset Management
According to the activist, part of the demand for gold has been lost due to the attractiveness of bitcoin and other digital currencies, especially since the price of bitcoin has risen above $ 50,000.
Marc Chandler is the CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex
The fall of the global gold ounce to $ 1,760 has driven many buyers off the market. One can expect the market to hit the range of $ 1810-1795. Crossing the global ounce price above $ 1820 could improve the technical outlook for the gold ounce. It has recently been rumored that Bitcoin is the gold of the modern world, but I do not agree with this idea. "I think it will take more time to judge."

21 February 21 ، 12:14 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
حمید راحت حق

Weekly analysis of the global Gold Saturday , February 20

Weekly analysis of the global Gold Saturday , February 2

https://bayanbox.ir/view/4164295542326912606/200728-gold-bar-%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA-%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg
The GOLD price of gold yesterday experienced an upward trend from the lowest level in the last seven months. Gold traded lower at $ 1,760 and rose to $ 1,790 after the official start of trading in the United States.
Gold ended the week at $ 1,780 and fell 2.35% over the past seven days. This is the worst weekly gold performance since July.
After testing the support level of $ 1,765 to $ 1,770, the price of gold was able to start a corrective trend. Stabilizing the price below this level will cause a downward trend.
Similarly, the stabilization of the price above the level of $ 1,790 can be considered a sign of the possibility of an uptrend for gold.
However, the correction in the price of gold seems limited and there is a possibility that the price will fall. Investors' risk appetite has increased as Treasury bond yields have risen. On Friday, the 10-year yield on US Treasury bonds reached a one-year high of 1.35%.

Technical levels
Last price of the day: $ 1783.54
Daily fluctuations: 8.80
Daytime fluctuations (٪): 0.5
Starting price: $ 1774.74
Trends
20-day moving average: $ 1826.92
50-day moving average: $ 1854.34
100-day moving average: $ 1865.24
200-day moving average: $ 1858.94
Levels
Yesterday's highest price: $ 1789.76
Lowest price yesterday: $ 1768.46
Last week's highest price: $ 1855.5
Last week's lowest price: $ 1807.86
Last month's highest price: $ 1959.42
Last month's lowest price: $ 1802.8
Fibonacci 38.2. Daily: $ 178.62
Fibonacci 61.8. Daily: $ 1776.6
Pivot S1 Daily: $ 1765.55
Pivot S2 Daily: $ 1756.35
Pivot S3 Daily: $ 1744.25
Pivot R1 Daily: $ 1786.85
Pivot R2 Daily: $ 1798.95
Pivot R3 Daily: $ 1808.15

20 February 21 ، 15:35 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
حمید راحت حق

Key points of buying and selling ounces of gold Tuesday, February 16

Key points of buying and selling ounces of gold Tuesday, February 16

https://bayanbox.ir/view/569260838793919456/stack-of-golden-%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA-%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg
Offer: sell below 1812.50 with a first profit tick of 1789.00 and a second profit tick of 1782.00
Alternative offer (in case of price trend change) When the price penetrates above 1812.50, the price first starts moving towards 1818.00 and 1827.00.

Support and resistance points
1827.00
1818.00
1812.50
————————
1789.00
1782.00
1771.75

16 February 21 ، 18:17 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
حمید راحت حق

Silver Technical Analysis (XAG) Thursday, February 11

Silver Technical Analysis (XAG) Thursday, February 11

https://bayanbox.ir/view/3561361682016821299/stack-of-silver-%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA-%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg
After hitting a high of $ 27.81 at the beginning of the week, the price of silver is experiencing a volatile trend in the range of $ 26.82.
This price correction was accompanied by the formation of a candle pattern with long shadows and is a sign of buyers' reluctance to act. Thus, there is a possibility of further fall in the price of silver.
The first support level is at $ 25.90, the weekly price floor. If the price penetrates below this level, the next target will be $ 24.60 support.
On the other hand, this week's price ceiling of $ 27.81 plays the role of a resistance for buyers.
Technical levels
Last price of the day: $ 26.82
Daytime fluctuations: 0.19-
Daytime fluctuations (٪): -0.70
Starting price: $ 27.01
Trends
20-day moving average: $ 26.2
50-day moving average: $ 25.79
100-day moving average: $ 24.92
200-day moving average: $ 23.28
Levels
Yesterday's highest price: $ 27.53
Yesterday's lowest price: $ 26.82
Last week's highest price: $ 30.07
Last week's lowest price: $ 25.9
Last month's highest price: $ 27.92
Last month's lowest price: $ 24.19
Fibonacci 38.2. Daily: $ 27.09
Fibonacci 61.8. Daily: $ 27.26
Pivot S1 Daily: $ 26.71
Pivot S2 Daily: $ 26.41
Pivot S3 daily: $ 26
Pivot R1 Daily: $ 27.42
Pivot R2 Daily: $ 27.83
Pivot R3 Daily: $ 28.13

11 February 21 ، 10:46 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
حمید راحت حق

Weekly Gold Analysis Monday, February 7

Weekly Gold Analysis Monday, February 7

https://bayanbox.ir/view/9037470472824552199/gold7-2%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA-%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg

The ounce of global gold in mid-August 2018, in the form of support hit $ 1160 and started a new bullish rally, so that the price of gold rose to $ 2075 over two years. This is a historic price point for gold. The upward movement of gold stopped after hitting the range of 2050-2075 and then we saw the entry of ounces of gold into the downtrend channel, so that the market moved to the moving average of 50.
The ounce of gold was resisted by $ 1875 and the moving average of 20, which resulted in the market moving to an average of 50. An ounce of gold has returned to the upside after each hit. So in this week's trading, if the 50-day moving average and the $ 1800 trend are turned into support, one can expect the market to return to the 20-day moving average, the $ 1875 level and finally the channel ceiling. The failure of the channel resistance can make the presence of gold buyers in the market more colorful.
But if the ounce of gold breaks the $ 1800 trend and the average of $ 50, the downtrend will pave the way around the $ 1700 trend.

 

Activists and investors in the global gold ounce market are skeptical about the future of the market, according to a weekly assessment by Kitco News. Although the majority of market traders expect the price of an ounce of global gold to rise in the coming weeks, among small investors, supporters of the uptrend are less than 50%.
Meanwhile, the price of an ounce of silver has returned below $ 27 and all growth since the beginning of last week has disappeared. The price of silver has fallen after reaching the highest price of the last eight years. The fall in the price of silver has negatively affected the views and expectations of retail investors. Analysts believe that small investors' pessimism about the silver market has spread to the global ounce gold market. Micro-investors, most influenced by the social network, expected a rapid return to the silver market, and this frustration may spread to the gold market.
This week, 14 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly evaluation of the Kitco site. 64% predict that this week's trend will be an upward ounce of global gold. Another 29% predict that the market trend will be downtrend and another 7% expect the market to be trending or neutral. A total of 1,823 Main Street activists took part in the online poll. 48% are in favor of the uptrend, 31% are in favor of the downtrend and 21% are in favor of the neutral trend.
Kitco's online poll shows that micro-investor pessimism about the global ounce trend has reached its highest level since late November. At that time, the price of an ounce of world gold had fallen below $ 1,800. Last week, professional activists and small investors expected the price of an ounce of global gold to rise. However, the ounce price of global gold fell by almost 2%.

 

07 February 21 ، 13:46 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
حمید راحت حق

Weekly Gold Analysis Monday, February 1

Weekly Gold Analysis

https://bayanbox.ir/view/3070420552967948263/gold2-1%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA-%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg
Kitco's weekly assessment shows that as financial markets fluctuate, small investors are optimistic about the future of the gold market. However, market traders believe that traders should not focus on gold and should instead focus on silver. Last week, the price of silver rose by nearly 7%. Most of last week's silver gains were made on Thursdays and Fridays.
This week, 16 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly Kitco News review. Fifty-six percent of respondents predict that the global gold ounce trend will be bullish. Another 19 percent predict a downward trend and another 25 percent predict a market without a trend. The focus of market participants on silver price movements has also reduced the participation of small investors (Main Street). Less than 1,000 people took part in the Kitco online poll this week. 62% were in favor of the uptrend, 21% were in favor of the downtrend and 18% were in favor of the neutral trend.
Last week, small investors and market traders expected the price of an ounce of global gold to rise. However, the market has ended without significant change.

01 February 21 ، 11:48 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
حمید راحت حق